WTPQ33 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TD LOCATED AT 19N 138E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
  ATSANI (2621) HAS WEAKENED TO TD INTENSITY. THE TD IS LOCATED AT
  19N, 138E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
  ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA
  AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
  IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
  HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS
  OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
  INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
  ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE
  SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A
  NEARBY TROPICAL CYCLONE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF
  ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89
  GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
  CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
  SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
  SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
5.REMARKS
  THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
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