WTNT82 EGRR 241621

  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 24.10.2026

             HURRICANE VANCE      ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N 102.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP222026

                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND
      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)
      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------
    1200UTC 24.10.2026    0  12.8N 102.8W      969            74
    0000UTC 25.10.2026   12  13.9N 103.8W      982            64
    1200UTC 25.10.2026   24  14.2N 105.2W      994            48
    0000UTC 26.10.2026   36  15.4N 106.5W      997            54
    1200UTC 26.10.2026   48  15.0N 108.3W     1001            32
    0000UTC 27.10.2026   60  15.0N 109.1W     1002            29
    1200UTC 27.10.2026   72  15.7N 109.4W     1002            27
    0000UTC 28.10.2026   84  17.6N 109.6W     1003            32
    1200UTC 28.10.2026   96  20.3N 110.0W     1002            33
    0000UTC 29.10.2026  108  23.8N 108.9W      998            42
    1200UTC 29.10.2026  120              CEASED TRACKING

       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 14.6N 179.9W

                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND
      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)
      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------
    0000UTC 26.10.2026   36  14.3N 179.3W     1006            31
    1200UTC 26.10.2026   48  12.9N 178.2W     1007            23
    0000UTC 27.10.2026   60  12.1N 176.8W     1005            22
    1200UTC 27.10.2026   72  11.6N 175.2W     1006            22
    0000UTC 28.10.2026   84  11.9N 174.5W     1005            24
    1200UTC 28.10.2026   96  12.6N 173.5W     1005            28
    0000UTC 29.10.2026  108  14.2N 172.0W     1003            28
    1200UTC 29.10.2026  120  15.0N 169.8W     1004            35
    0000UTC 30.10.2026  132  14.9N 169.0W     1004            28
    1200UTC 30.10.2026  144  15.5N 169.2W     1006            26
    0000UTC 31.10.2026  156  15.8N 170.0W     1006            24
    1200UTC 31.10.2026  168  16.5N 171.3W     1007            26

       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
              FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 31.4N  67.6W

                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND
      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)
      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------
    1200UTC 30.10.2026  144  31.4N  67.6W     1010            36
    0000UTC 31.10.2026  156  33.9N  61.0W     1008            35
    1200UTC 31.10.2026  168  37.4N  49.9W     1002            47


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 241621